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3 Reasons Bitcoin Remains in a Bear Market—Analyst Predicts $100K Rebound

The article outlines three key reasons for Bitcoin's ongoing bear market: rising inflation, its four-year cycle, and excess leverage. Despite this, an analyst predicts a rebound to $100,000 by year-end.

July 12, 2026
2 min read
Source: Fortune
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Key Numbers

target price
$100,000

According to a report from Fortune, Bitcoin continues to face downward pressure due to three main factors: rising inflation, its four-year cycle, and excess leverage. However, one analyst believes the cryptocurrency could recover to $100,000 by the end of the year.

Reasons for the Bear Market

Rising Inflation

Rising inflation leads to tighter monetary policies by central banks, reducing liquidity and dampening demand for high-risk assets like Bitcoin.

Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle

Bitcoin follows a four-year cycle tied to halving events. The market is currently in a bearish phase within this cycle.

Excess Leverage

Excessive use of leverage in the derivatives market amplifies volatility, as forced liquidations add downward pressure on price.

Rebound Forecast

Despite these headwinds, the analyst predicts Bitcoin could rebound to $100,000 by year-end, supported by institutional demand and increasing scarcity after the latest halving.

What This Means for Investors

Investors should exercise caution amid current volatility, while monitoring inflation indicators and monetary policy. Long-term outlook is optimistic, but short-term risks remain.

Frequently Asked Questions

Rising inflation, Bitcoin's four-year cycle, and excess leverage.

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This article was rewritten in Wrqti's editorial style based on information from the original source above. Content is informational only — not investment advice.