Skip to content
All news
General

What History Says Could Come Next for Bitcoin in July

Historical data suggests July could be a positive month for Bitcoin, with average returns of 8% in the last decade. However, seasonality is not a reliable predictor.

June 11, 2026
2 min read
Source: Motley Fool
Share:

Historical data suggests that July could be a positive month for Bitcoin, according to an analysis by Motley Fool. Over the past ten years, Bitcoin has posted gains in July in 7 out of 10 instances, with an average return of around 8%.

Bitcoin's Historical Performance in July

Over the past decade, Bitcoin has shown an interesting seasonal pattern in July. In 7 out of 10 years, Bitcoin ended the month in the green, with an average monthly return of 8.2%. The best performance was in July 2020 when it rose 24%, while the worst was in July 2019 when it fell 8%.

Factors at Play

Several factors may explain this positive trend, including the end of tax season in the US in April, which reduces selling pressure, as well as increased trading activity during the summer. However, caution is advised against over-reliance on seasonal patterns.

What This Means for Investors

While the historical data looks encouraging, investors should remember that past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct independent research and diversify your portfolio.

Frequently Asked Questions

Bitcoin has risen in July in 7 out of 10 years.

Found this useful? Share it

Share:
This article was rewritten in Wrqti's editorial style based on information from the original source above. Content is informational only — not investment advice.