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Is ExxonMobil Stock Cheap When Looking Two Years Ahead?

A recent analysis by Trefis suggests that while ExxonMobil (XOM) stock appears expensive on current earnings, it trades at a significant discount when considering projected earnings two years out, provided the company delivers on its growth plans.

July 15, 2026
2 min read
Source: Trefis
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According to an analysis published by Trefis, ExxonMobil (XOM) stock may appear expensive based on its current price-to-earnings ratio, but it offers a substantial discount when valued on expected earnings two years from now.

Recommendation Change

The analysis does not explicitly change a rating, but it implies the stock could be undervalued based on future growth.

Analyst Rationale

Analysts note that XOM currently trades at a relatively high P/E multiple compared to this year's earnings. However, when looking at earnings estimates for the next two years, the stock appears much cheaper. This discount depends on the company successfully executing its growth plans, particularly in new energy projects and production increases.

Context

In contrast, other major energy stocks like Chevron (CVX) and ConocoPhillips (COP) trade at lower current P/E multiples, potentially offering less risky investment opportunities. XOM's stock has been volatile in recent months, influenced by oil price fluctuations and global demand.

What to Make of This

Investing in ExxonMobil is a bet on the company's ability to deliver strong earnings growth over the next two years. If growth materializes, the stock could be a good opportunity. If not, it may remain expensive. Investors should compare this opportunity with other sector options.

Frequently Asked Questions

Because its current price reflects a discount on expected earnings two years from now, assuming strong growth is achieved.

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This article was rewritten in Wrqti's editorial style based on information from the original source above. Content is informational only — not investment advice.