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Morningstar Says SpaceX Could Be Worth Less Than Half Its $1.75 Trillion IPO Price

Morningstar analysts suggest SpaceX's valuation could be less than half its $1.75 trillion IPO price, questioning the current $2.44 trillion market cap.

June 22, 2026
2 min read
Source: 24/7 Wall St.
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Key Numbers

current valuation
$2.44 trillion
ipo valuation
$1.75 trillion
morningstar estimate
less than half of $1.75 trillion

Morningstar, a leading investment research firm, has indicated that SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) could be worth less than half its $1.75 trillion IPO price. This comes as the company's current valuation stands at roughly $2.44 trillion, up nearly 40% from the IPO price.

Rating Change

Morningstar did not issue a formal buy or sell rating, but its analysis suggests the stock is significantly overvalued. The current $2.44 trillion valuation far exceeds the firm's fundamental estimates.

Analyst Rationale

Morningstar analysts argue that SpaceX's valuation is driven by speculation around ambitious projects like Starship and Starlink, rather than solid financials. They estimate fair value could be below $875 billion.

Context

The caution comes amid intense anticipation for SpaceX's IPO, one of the most awaited in recent years. While some analysts justify the high valuation due to SpaceX's dominance in the space industry, others warn of a speculative bubble. SpaceX shares are not yet publicly traded, but secondary market activity indicates strong demand.

Conclusion

Morningstar's warning reminds investors to focus on fundamentals rather than hype. However, the final valuation will depend on the company's post-IPO performance.

Frequently Asked Questions

SpaceX's current valuation is approximately $2.44 trillion, up 40% from its $1.75 trillion IPO price.

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This article was rewritten in Wrqti's editorial style based on information from the original source above. Content is informational only — not investment advice.