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Why Gas Prices Aren't Falling Despite Lower Oil

Crude oil has fallen sharply from its spring highs, yet gasoline prices have not dropped as expected. RBC Capital Markets analysts point to tight gasoline supplies and U.S. refiners running 'incredibly hard' as key reasons.

July 2, 2026
2 min read
Source: 24/7 Wall St.
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Crude oil has fallen sharply from its spring highs, yet many drivers are still paying far more at the pump than expected. In a recent CNBC segment, Helima Croft, Head of Global Commodity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, argued that tight gasoline supplies, U.S. refiners already running 'incredibly hard,' and a potentially pivotal factor are behind the stubbornly high prices.

Details

Croft explained that U.S. refiners are operating near full capacity to meet demand, leaving little spare capacity to boost gasoline output. This lack of capacity, combined with low gasoline inventories, keeps prices elevated even as crude oil declines.

Context

The comments come amid a volatile oil market, where crude prices have fallen on demand concerns. However, gasoline prices have not followed suit due to the aforementioned factors.

What This Means for Investors

For investors in companies like Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and ConocoPhillips (COP), sustained high refining margins could boost quarterly earnings. However, any shifts in demand or government policies should be monitored.

Frequently Asked Questions

Because U.S. refiners are operating near full capacity, limiting supply, and inventories are low.

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This article was rewritten in Wrqti's editorial style based on information from the original source above. Content is informational only — not investment advice.