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Wall Street Earnings Expectations Sky High as BofA Raises Forecast

Wall Street heads into the second-quarter earnings season with high expectations, with consensus estimates pointing to 22% year-over-year growth in S&P 500 earnings. Bank of America has raised its full-year earnings forecast, stating that earnings momentum shows no signs of rolling over.

July 13, 2026
2 min read
Source: Barrons.com
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Key Numbers

sp500 earnings growth q2
22%
sp500 earnings growth q1
27%

Wall Street is entering the second-quarter earnings season of 2026 with elevated expectations, leaving ample room for disappointment. According to a note from Bank of America (BAC), consensus estimates indicate S&P 500 earnings will grow 22% from the year-ago period, following more than 27% growth in the first quarter.

Bank of America's Outlook

Bank of America strategists said, "Expectations are elevated, but we see no signs of earnings momentum rolling over." They issued an earnings forecast that sits above consensus estimates and lifted their full-year EPS outlook for the index.

Broader Context

The optimistic outlook comes after a strong first-quarter earnings season, where companies reported robust profit growth. However, elevated expectations increase the risk of negative surprises, especially if companies fail to meet these high estimates.

What This Means for Investors

Despite the optimism, investors should exercise caution, as high expectations mean any underperformance could trigger negative market reactions. It will be crucial to monitor results from major companies like Morgan Stanley (MS) and Bank of America (BAC) to gauge the validity of these forecasts.

Frequently Asked Questions

Analysts expect S&P 500 earnings to grow 22% year-over-year in the second quarter of 2026.

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This article was rewritten in Wrqti's editorial style based on information from the original source above. Content is informational only — not investment advice.